KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 89%+4.0pt
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$40.6
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 89.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Wealth taxes on HNWIs to be implemented in the United States of America by 1st January 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketRules
If the IRS collects more tax revenue in 2026 than 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IRS
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $146.1K
- 24h Vol
- $55.1K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.9K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $18.6K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-31.0pt34%
- At least ¥74,000-39.0pt28%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.8K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.1K
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? resolve?
- Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the IRS collects more tax revenue in 2026 than 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.