KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Aug 1, 2026 2%-1.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.7
Liquidity
$26.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
200.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 14, 25, 2:00 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Aug 1, 20262%
Volume trend
$14Jul 312d of dataJul 22
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If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.
- If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.
- If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.