KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 106° to 107° (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 12:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
106° to 107° 95.2%+93.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29.6K
Liquidity
$22.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:00 PMAug 21, 26, 6:00 AM
Probability Timeline
108° or above1%
104° to 105°75%
106° to 107°99%
102° to 103°6%
100° to 101°18%
99° or below15%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) for Aug 20, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 100-101° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 102-103° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) for Aug 20, 2026, is between 104-105° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
