Current community forecast
No 97.4%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 27, 23, 5:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if a top 5 smartphone brand by market share is available on sale with a room temperature superconductor in any part of it's composition
- Top 5 brands by market share are currently Samsung, Apple, Xiaomi, Oppo and Vivo, but I will re-review this when relevant.
- This restriction is to rule out hobbyists or other small-run shops pushing out something that may technically meet the criteria but is not widely available to verify room temp superconductor claims.
- The phone must be on sale, not just up for preorder, and in shops and not just a paper launch.
- Room temperature superconductor must be a component of the phone and not the manufacturing process.
