KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$4/MTok or below · —
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Stored price
$4/MTok or below 26%Market line of 4 lines
$4/MTok or below 26%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$49.2
Open interest
$6.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
$4/MTok or belowSpread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jun 4, 26, 5:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · $4/MTok or below
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?
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KalshiOpenAI GPT Astra 6.1+ released by ?
FutuurOpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date
Manifold MarketsWill the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenAI
- The market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for OpenAI GPT 5.5 in 2026 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for OpenAI GPT 5.5 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.
Rules for each outcome
- $4/MTok or below
- If the Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $3/MTok or below
- If the Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $2/MTok or below
- If the Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1/MTok or below
- If the Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $1 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
