KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly -0.2% 2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 5.0%
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PMAug 12, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly -0.2%2%
Compare venues· Exactly 0.2%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.1%16d
34%
26%
-0.1%25%
+4 more outcomes
83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$61.6K
24h Vol$19.8
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
1.0%17d
20%
14%
13%
+12 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$71.6K
24h Vol$11
KALSHIRules
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.1% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.0% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.1% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.2% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.3% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$200Jul 216d of dataJul 25
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If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.1% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.0% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.1% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.2% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.3% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.