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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?
Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

RegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$5.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.3% / 9.8%

Spread

326.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

If New York City’s congestion relief fee (the “Central Business District Tolling Program”) has ended, or its fee has been set to $0, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement (or, for example, legislation forcing it) that it will end is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes, even if that has not yet taken effect.
  • A pause or injunction on the congestion pricing toll is not sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.

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Rules

If New York City’s congestion relief fee (the “Central Business District Tolling Program”) has ended, or its fee has been set to $0, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement (or, for example, legislation forcing it) that it will end is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes, even if that has not yet taken effect.
  • A pause or injunction on the congestion pricing toll is not sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.