KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 8:08 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 7:39 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals 34%Leader of 5 outcomes
Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals 34%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$85.5K
Open interest
$64.4K
High open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 6:06 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals34%
Boca Juniors wins by more than 2.5 goals6%
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals9%
River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals3%
Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals34%
Boca Juniors wins by more than 2.5 goals6%
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals1%
River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Boca Juniors wins by more than 3.5 goals1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
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Rules for each outcome
- Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Boca Juniors wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boca Juniors wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Boca Juniors wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If River Plate wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boca Juniors wins by more than 3.5 goals
- If Boca Juniors wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.