KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 10:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 60%
No 60%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
35.0% / 44.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 5:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If Goldman Sachs announces an agreement to acquire Palmer Square Capital Management before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Securities and Exchange CommissionABCCNBCThe GuardianBloombergThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesReutersthe New York TimesBBC
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement.
- Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.
- The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced.
- Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution.
- Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced.
