GeminiLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityKeith Sonderling 83.5%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 94.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Apr 21, 26, 10:18 PMJan 20, 29, 10:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Keith Sonderling94%
Compare venues· Keith Sonderling
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
2y
79%
3.4%
3.4%
+13 more outcomes
46 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$80.7K
24h Vol$10.4
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
15.6 ptsClosed
Resolved
Keith Sonderling (100%)
+49.5pt100%
-1.4pt0%
-8.2pt0%
+32 more outcomes
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$127.4K
24h Vol$80.9K
POLYMARKETRules
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor before Jan 20, 2029?
- If Trump's next Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and interim holders of the office are not included.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to the position, or appointed via a recess appointment, are included even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/62C708X97gg8ha2KlDfFdF/1221858c06ed54f87774931d12d833ea/Position_Nomination_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor before Jan 20, 2029?
- If Trump's next Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and interim holders of the office are not included.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to the position, or appointed via a recess appointment, are included even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/62C708X97gg8ha2KlDfFdF/1221858c06ed54f87774931d12d833ea/Position_Nomination_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).