KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityKeith Sonderling 79%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.4
Liquidity
$29.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 9, 26, 4:45 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Riley Moore2%
Compare venues· Keith Sonderling
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Gemini
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
2y
83.5%
5.8%
1.3%
+7 more outcomes
47 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$27K
24h Vol$0
GEMINI
Also available on Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
15.6 ptsClosed
Resolved
Keith Sonderling (100%)
+49.5pt100%
-1.4pt0%
-8.2pt0%
+32 more outcomes
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$127.4K
24h Vol$80.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$10Jul 223d of dataJul 27
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If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.