KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis (99%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 4:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 1:59 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Uranium4%
Cuba / Cuban1%
Stupid Question1%
Golden Dome1%
ISIS4%
Autopen / Auto Pen1%
Prediction Market / Predictive Market2%
American Flag Blue1%
UFO / UAP4%
Marijuana / Weed / CannabisWon
TikTokLost
NewscumLost
MelaniaLost
Gianni / InfantinoLost
Rigged Election / Stolen ElectionLost
WindmillLost
Who are you with / Where are you fromLost
Peace in the Middle EastLost
Bibi / NetanyahuLost
Crypto / BitcoinLost
UkraineLost
Karoline / LeavittLost
Barack Hussein ObamaLost
TDS / Trump Derangement SyndromeLost
FraudLost
Trump AccountLost
Sleepy JoeLost
TransgenderLost
LandslideLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome, or a plural or possessive form of the named outcome, is stated by Donald Trump after July 20th, at 10:00am ET and before Jul 27, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPBSthe President of the United StatesCBSNBCBloombergAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.