GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: New Mexico wins by more than 4.5 points
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 5:35 AM
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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
New Mexico wins by more than 4.5 pointsWon
New Mexico wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 20.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
North Dakota State wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Games will North Dakota State football win in the 2026 season?
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PolymarketJacksonville State vs New Mexico State
GeminiWill North Dakota State University play in the College Football Playoff this Season?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the second state after North Dakota to have a state-owned bank?
Manifold MarketsRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New Mexico in the entire college football game between North Dakota State and New Mexico scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 9:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New Mexico's score minus North Dakota State's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
