FutuurClosedVerified resolution dataThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityBetween 3.4 and 3.7% 60%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 34 days ago
StaleTrends
60%
30%
10%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change65.7%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt33.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt56%
- No-1.0pt44%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $63.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting+1.0pt35%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $133.7K
- 24h Vol
- $10.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $140.4K
- 24h Vol
- $8K
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-2.3pt23%
- At least 5.0%+0.9pt17%
- At least 5.5%14%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $451.2K
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- India Annual Inflation 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
- US gasoline CPI for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US headline inflation rate in July (year-over-year CPI)?
- Futuur prices Between 3.4 and 3.7% at 60% as of July 22, 2026.
- When does US headline inflation rate in July (year-over-year CPI) resolve?
- US headline inflation rate in July (year-over-year CPI) is scheduled to resolve on August 12, 2026.