FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 60%
No 60%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityTraders
9
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This event predicts whether Venezuelan opposition figure Edmundo González Urrutia will physically return to Venezuelan territory at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be confirmation of his presence in Venezuela from official Venezuelan authorities, court records, or verifiable reporting.
- If Edmundo González Urrutia is confirmed to have physically returned to Venezuela during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Statements of intent to return without physical presence will not count.
- If official confirmation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.