- Will Count Binface earn back his deposit (get >=5% of the vote) in the Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: [20,35) · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Which party will come second-place in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Count Binface · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- What will the top two parties be in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Reform, Count Binface · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Who will come third place in the Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: John Stevens (Rejoin EU) · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Reform UK · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Reform UK · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- What will I get in IOI 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Gold · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will Supergirl exceed The Marvels worldwide box office?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Deportes Temuco vs San Luis (Aug 13, 2026)
Manifold Markets · Winner: Draw · Resolved Aug 14, 2026
- Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will an Anthropic model autonomously hack an external entity in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- 🎓 Will I complete my PhD?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- When will Tropical Storm Lala form? (CP)
Manifold Markets · Winner: August 13 · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will I write for >half the time that I read this month?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- which city will host Eurovision 2027?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Burgas · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- What in Bulgaria will Eurovision 2027 be hosted?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Burgas · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Luke Bronin · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will Kimi K3 be open source on the 13th August?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will Tetra see the solar eclipse of August 12, 2026 in the path of totality?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- The US bomb Iran at least once during August?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Who will be the first person to overtake Gavin Newsom as the 2028 dem nominee favourite?
Manifold Markets · Winner: AOC · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will there be at least two MLB games in which a single player hits 3 HR between July 30 and August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- MLB: Will the Atlanta Braves sweep the New York Mets OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- MLB: Will the Philadelphia Phillies sweep the St. Louis Cardinals OR will the 3-game series total 25 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- MLB: Will the Chicago Cubs sweep the Washington Nationals OR will the 3-game series total 30 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Which team will win the 2026 UEFA Super Cup?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Paris Saint-Germain · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will Jose Vega debate Ritchie Torres?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will I successfully create an app before school starts in the fall?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will a 500 megaton explosion happen tommorrow? (Apocalypse Hedging)
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 13, 2026
- Will I get a clear picture of the eclipse?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift
Manifold Markets · Winner: right-authoritarian · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will I see the total solar eclipse for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Never · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will there be 50 released playable overwatch characters by the end of 2028?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Grok 4.6 be released by August 15th
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Chase De Lauter have at least 250 at bats for the Cleveland Guardians during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will U.S. gasoline CPI (SA) fall 3% or more month-over-month in the July 2026 release?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will my new phone survive the night?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Daily Coinflip
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will I see the aurora for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Bitcoin be higher 2 days from now (closing soon)
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will any of these high profile people offically endorse Francesca Hong?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Wisconsin Democratic Governor Nominee 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Other · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Abdul El Sayed and Francesca Hong both win their primaries?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will i do a backflip in next 10 minutes
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will i eat a saltine before 11:42
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will I eat the crayon in the next hour
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will I eat a bowl of mac n cheese before 11:42pm pst aug 12th
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Amy Klobuchar win all state legislative districts in the 2026 DFL Governor primary?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Amy Klobuchar win all counties in the 2026 DFL Governor primary?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Bitcoin price on August 11?
Manifold Markets · Winner: $62,001 - $64,000 · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Mike Lindell be the Republican Nominee for Governor of Minnesota in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?
Manifold Markets · Winner: He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it. · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Who Will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Penny Flanagan · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Primary for governor by 10.00% or more?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will the DJIA go below 50,500 by August 11 (8/11/26) ?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- 1k subsidy! Republican nominee for Minnesota governor 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Lisa Demuth · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will Planet Fitness report 21.60 million or more total members in its Q2 2026 earnings release?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Who will win the Democratic primary for Minnesota Governor?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Amy klobuchar · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Peggy Flanagan and Graham Platner both elected senators in November 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will the winner of the South Carolina Special Republican Primary for Senate recieve at least 50% of the vote?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor of Connecticut in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Ned Lamont · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earns more than $170M in domestic gross earnings during their second weekend?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 12, 2026
- Will my new phone die before I get home tonight?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will the official daily high temperature in San Francisco reach 68.0°F or higher on Saturday, August 8, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will an AI Village agent publicly respond to the r/SimDemocracy ambassador by Sept 30, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 5th district in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Jahana Hayes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will the Esports World Cup or Grand Chess Tour reschedule in order to accommodate currently double-booked Chess players
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will the avg. sea level rise by more than 1km by tomorrow? (Apocalypse Hedging)
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will World Model AIs start being used in games in early 2026 and quickly start dominating the Game Development industry?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will trump announce a new US strike on Iran before August 10?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold Markets · Winner: July 2026 1.195C or more and less than 1.245C · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% or lower before Sep 1st 2026
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will the DARPA Lift challenge have qualifying participants with a lift ratio of over 2X?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- [incentive market] I apply for (thing) in next 72 hours
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Did gold will hit 4150 today 31 july
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Bitcoin price on August 10?
Manifold Markets · Winner: 62,001-64,000 · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- MLB: Will the Tampa Bay Rays defeat the Oakland Athletics by 2 or more runs on Monday night?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will I get my licence in time for my flight ?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will Russia control Konstantinovka by the end of November 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will any US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will S&box (Sandbox) release before Star Citizen?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will there be a codex limit reset on Monday August 10, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- Will more than 5 bots trade on this market?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 11, 2026
- If Opus 4.6 can pay back its loan, will it?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Trump interfere with Greenland?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will BARACK OBAMA endorse or congratulate Abdul el Sayed before end of Friday?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will three suns rise tomorrow? (Apocalypse hedging)
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will i vape in the next 1 hour
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Daily Coinflip
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Gemini 3.5 Pro be released on August 10, 1PM EST?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Next Codex banked reset?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Other · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Trump’s Tuesday 8pm ET ultimatum?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 180M
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- How many Codex resets this week?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Saturday · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 130M
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting World Yoyo competition by question close.
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting Zambian elections by question close.
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Bitcoin price on August 8?
Manifold Markets · Winner: 64,001-66,000 · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Labour rules out Nz First for 2026 nz election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- TOMB Winner (add your team)
Manifold Markets · Winner: School of Geometry · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will I complete my goal by tomorrow night?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- Will TOMB get delayed by more than 30 minutes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 10, 2026
- MLB: Will the Philadelphia Phillies sweep the Toronto Blue Jays OR will the 3-game series total 25 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- MLB: Will the Milwaukee Brewers sweep the Minnesota Twins OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- MLB: Will the Texas Rangers sweep the Baltimore Orioles OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- MLB: Will the New York Yankees sweep the Atlanta Braves OR will the 3-game series total 27 or more runs?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- When will I beat Yao Ye in codeforces rating
Manifold Markets · Winner: in august 2026 · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will my new phone crash from gaming too hard?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- WILL Margougou win regicide rumble 7?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Department of Education · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Cup?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Anthropic explicitly ban competing models from using Claude Code before July 1st 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will a physics competition for high school students be hosted at MIT by mid 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will the podium of the 2026 Tour de France Femmes be Demi, Marlen, Kasia in some order?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Ganji get 3 or more king snipes in Regicide Rumble 7? [Aoe2]
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will The Legend of Russell get 3 or more kingsnipes during Regicide Rumble 7? [AOE2]
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will any player from France *or* playing as a French civilization *surrender*/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Gustavo Petro be outside Colombia on August 7, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the Points Classification / Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Lorena Wiebes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Tour de France Femmes 2026 GC Top 10 Game [READ DESCRIPTION]
Manifold Markets · Winner: Demi Vollering · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Puck Pieterse · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- How many different riders will wear the Yellow Jersey in the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: 5 · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the Young Rider Classification / White Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Antonia Niedermaier · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Demi Vollering · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging)
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Amazon have more robots than FTE humans before 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Slovakia win the ice hockey world championship 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Tesla begin Roadster production before July 1 ?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Elon Musk lose his security clearance by the end of 2025?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Free money for Opus 4.6
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Kyndryl Holdings recover from today's crash within 6 month?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- $CASHCAT reach $0.15 or more by August 8
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Trump interfere with the World Cup a second time?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the Democratic primary in Hawaii's 1st congressional district?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Ed Case · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Norway Win The 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the Democratic Primary in Michigan's 2026 Senate Election?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Abdul El-Sayed · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Who will win the democratic primary in MI-13?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Donovan McKinney · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will the Loop Gear SK07 reach 90% of its stated 2800 lumen max output after 30 seconds of runtime on turbo mode
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will Messi arrive argentina today?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 9, 2026
- Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Will I get an internship before July 2027?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Rogue is gonna be in the new spider man movie ??
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- In what month will I reach 100,000 traders?
Manifold Markets · Winner: August 2026 · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Will Seth die in Will Trent by the end of 2027?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Which AP Subject Test for May 2026 will have the most students get the lowest score on it?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Other · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, married at any point within the year prior to the event?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, ride a Citibike to escape after the crime?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Will the Blue Man Group still be performing in NYC at the end of 2030?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Todd Blanche · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- will vance's new kid be seen in public this year?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- When will yao ye beat me in codeforces rating (part 2)
Manifold Markets · Winner: Before September 2026 · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?
Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 8, 2026
- Will John Fetterman vote for Trump's nominee to succeed Pam Bondi?
Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 8, 2026