Manifold Markets Markets Resolved in 2024

Manifold Markets prediction markets that settled during 2024, most recent first, with the winning outcome for each.

46 markets resolved

• Will S&P 500 increase in 2024?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Dec 31, 2024

• New significant evidence of foul play in Suchir Balaji's death before end January 2025

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Dec 30, 2024

• Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2024?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Ufo361 · Resolved Dec 29, 2024

• Will I win my lawsuit against Wells Fargo?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Dec 22, 2024

• Wanneer stapt Hertzberger uit NSC?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Binnen een jaar · Resolved Nov 21, 2024

• Will I lose ohmio

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Nov 2, 2024

• What ELO will new Claude Sonnet 3.5 get in LMArena?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: [0,1305) · Resolved Oct 30, 2024

• A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Oct 9, 2024

• Will OpenAI's o1 / 🍓 reach #1 on LMSys on October 1st?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Oct 2, 2024

• Will it be confirmed by 2026 that OpenAI had a model/system called Q* or Zero?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 29, 2024

• Will Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 22, 2024

• How many printed advertisements will I see in an hour-long walk in a major city?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 200-500 · Resolved Aug 11, 2024

• Will France beat Spain in Euro 2024 semifinal?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jul 10, 2024

• Will I make RMM 2025?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jul 9, 2024

• In what month of year 2024 perl 5.40.0 will be released

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 06 · Resolved Jun 10, 2024

• CO2 level at Mauna Loa in May 2024

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Over 426.8 · Resolved Jun 5, 2024

• Will the highest individual score at 2024 MATHCOUNTS Nationals be 40 or higher?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved May 22, 2024

• Will i make the mathcounts nationals countdown round in 2024?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved May 13, 2024

• Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close higher at the end of April than March?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Apr 30, 2024

• Will I have a streak of 100 flashcards done a day before my exams in May?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Apr 21, 2024

• Will there be compelling evidence of the Havana Syndrome presented on 60 minutes? (in my judgment)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Apr 5, 2024

• Is the Reuters story about OpenAI's Q* substantively true?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Apr 2, 2024

• Will David MATHCOUNT MATHCOUNTS?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Mar 24, 2024

• Will I make Mathcounts Nationals?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Mar 24, 2024

• Will I beat Vihaan at mathcounts state

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Mar 23, 2024

• Will the Texas grid (ERCOT) enter emergency mode this winter?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Mar 20, 2024

• Will I qualify for MATHCOUNTS nationals

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Mar 12, 2024

• 2024: Will Bitcoin reach $70,000?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Mar 12, 2024

• Will I win mathcounts state

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Mar 3, 2024

• MC Market creation is broken for me. Will it be fixed by 9pm tonight CA time?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Feb 25, 2024

• Is complex bashing good?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Feb 25, 2024

• Will I do at least as well on 2024 mathcounts chapter as I did on 2023 mathcounts chapter

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Feb 25, 2024

• Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on February 19?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Feb 20, 2024

• Le message de bienvenue sera t-il posté avant lundi?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Feb 8, 2024

• Will Jim Risch endorse Trump?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Jan 19, 2024

• Will Rupiah exchange reach IDR20.000 per January 2024

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 5, 2024

• Does mira know what the kelly criterion is?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Jan 4, 2024

• Will McDonald's open a location in Yerevan, Armenia in 2023?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 2, 2024

• Will Gate.io be insolvent by the end of 2023?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 2, 2024

• Will the Gaza conflict be a catalyst to kick off something much bigger?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 1, 2024

• Will NBC Today Show Alum, 97 year old Gene Shalit, make it to 2024?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Jan 1, 2024

• Wordt er nog voor 2024 een mens gedood door een wolf in Nederland?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 1, 2024

• Zal het OM voor 2024 proberen FvD te verbieden?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 1, 2024

• Gaan PvdA en Groenlinks fuseren voor 2024

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 1, 2024

• Gaat Esther-Mirjam Sent opstappen nav het rapport over Gijs van Dijk

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Jan 1, 2024