Manifold Markets Resolved Markets Archive

Every Manifold Markets market CoinRithm has recorded a definitive resolution for, grouped by the year it settled. Counts use the same filter as the resolved archive feed.

9,671 markets resolved · 99% provider-timestamped

Browse by year

• 20269,482
• 2025113
• 202446
• 202327
• 20223

Most recent resolutions

• Video of Chinese politician actually riding in a car in China with Tesla FSD, by mid 2026

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 21, 2026

• Bitcoin price reaches 70k USD before EOY

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 21, 2026

• When will the first episode of Jack Reacher season 4 be available to watch on Amazon Prime?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: August 2026 · Resolved Aug 21, 2026

• Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 21, 2026

• Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• When will Amy appear as an athlete on a regular season of Jet Lag?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Season 18 · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will the next big Minecraft update be the ancient city portal dimension update?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will the General Assembly be reset in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Which race will Satono Reve run in, the Nunthorpe Stakes or the City of York Stakes?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Satono Reve will run in the City of York Stakes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• When will the next QoL only update come to Gran Turismo 7?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: July-August 2026 · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Who Will Win OWCS 2026 - NA Stage 2

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Dallas Fuel · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• BTC first hits?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: $66,000 · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Manifold Markets created: I'm currently #104. Will I rank #96 in markets I've created by August 26, 2026? (8/26/26)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will any the weights for any new Qwen Model >=100B parameters release before 2027

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• What will Fantano rate Phoebe Bridgers "Lost Weekend"?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 9 · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• What Will be the result between New England Revolution @ D.C United

  Manifold Markets · Winner: New England win · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Has my ex blocked me?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 20, 2026

• Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Who will win the 2026 Sinquefield Cup chess tournament (GCT 5th event)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Wesley So · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• In a month, will Gemini 2.5 Pro in AI village fall into delusions again?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will Bitcoin be higher 14 days from now?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Who will win the 2026 Cairns Cup chess tournament?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Tan Zhongyi · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• US/Israel strike on Iran by end of 2030?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will Stripe acquire OpenRouter by EOY?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will I bother calling the suicide hotline this time?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• What disciplinary action will I face for my last market?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Nothing · Resolved Aug 19, 2026

• Will something happen in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved Aug 19, 2026