PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 41%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
13.052,5 €
Liquidität
4810,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
142
7d-Änderung
+10.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
4. Nov. 25, 20:42 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Vovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- If the territory of municipality is shaded light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Vovchanski Khutory" with a darker grey line.
- If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Once Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.