Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.4%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
25. Jan. 26, 21:53 UTC30. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
PolymarketTatarnykov Volodymyr vs. Lyman Oleksandr
PolymarketWill Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Russia capture Sloviansk?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over Lyman, Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution sources
- Confirmation from: (at least 3 of these) Suriyakmaps, Kalibrated, Military Summary, DPA, AMK
- Official statements from Ukrainian/Russian military command
- Map shaded red on ISW map