PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 82.8%-0.5ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1443,1 €
Liquidität
36.842,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
7
7d-Änderung
-27.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. Jan. 26, 20:151. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
- The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
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+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 221.756,7 €
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- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
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- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 301.751,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 44.579,1 €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 83% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.