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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

2.0% (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffUS Politics6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 7%+2.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

100 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

12.326,6 €

Liquidität

152.676,8 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.7% / 6.8%

Spread

1.5%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.4%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 19:1031. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
April 30
April 30
0%
June 30
June 30
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 317%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.