Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
One-OffGeopolitikNaher OstenHandelspolitik6T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 180 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Above 180 80%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Above 180 80%Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.214,3 €
Open Interest
8058,2 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 180Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
6. Nov. 26, 16:31 UTC17. Nov. 26, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 180
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 180
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 185
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 190
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 195
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 205
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 230
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 230 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.