PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 54%+1.0pt
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4023,1 €
Liquidität
2777,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 32 Minuten
1. Apr. 26, 19:31 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
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- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
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PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Bilytske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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- 24h-Volumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 54% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.