Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by which date?
3.0 Pkt. (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTechnik3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 78%-3.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
252,7 €
Liquidität
14.193,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
+1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 19:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building at 48.538085° N, 37.688345° E in Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The building station will be considered captured if any part of the buildings grey area is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.