PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 83.2%+1.5pt
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
28,6 €
Liquidität
2481,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
17
7d-Änderung
+9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 25, 15:0131. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 613.312,3 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? entschieden?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.