KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 06.11.2026, 20:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 400 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Above 400 78.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Above 400 78.5%Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
6854,3 €
Open Interest
9584 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 400Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert1. Nov. 26, 16:05 UTC8. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 400
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 700, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc AI Chat Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month AI Chat Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=7892a60d-ce75-4eba-98aa-460b93a4f33b. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 400
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 450, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 700
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 700, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 800
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 800, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 350
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 350, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 500
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 550
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 550, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 600
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 600, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 650
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 650, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 750
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 750, then the market resolves to Yes.