PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 28.09.2026, 19:18 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 89%
December 31 89%Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
454,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
68.0% / 72.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
23. Sept. 26, 23:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.6, Claude Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- Claude Opus 5.5, released on September 22, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, re-release, reasoning or speed mode, or other variant of it will not qualify.
