KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitComputer 34%+31.0ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3659,3 €
Liquidität
39.756,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 24.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
31. Mai 25, 14:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Earbuds/Headphones7%
Plattformen vergleichen· Clip-on device for clothing
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 24% | 0pt | 3659,3 € | 39.756,1 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Polymarket85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 13% | -11pt | 287,1 € | 20.757,4 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
7.5 pts5Mon
-7.5pt22.5%
-1.5pt14.4%
-6.5pt13.5%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
53 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen343.786,6 €
24h-Volumen287,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Tablet before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Computer before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$4.2k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
60.112,2 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO by which date?
4796,3 €December: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4183,7 €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
3772,9 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1144,8 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSastral.sh acquisition market
570,7 €OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty): 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Tablet before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Computer before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.