KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
5691,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
30. Mai 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?
Manifold MarketsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 63.645,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 63.644,2 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27.401,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.401,3 €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? entschieden?
- Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.