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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

0.2% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 9%
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1521,1 €

Liquidität

28.726,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.6% / 1.8%

Spread

12.5%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

4. März 26, 18:4731. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 319%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
  • An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,623.61+2.20%EthereumETH$1,650.13+1.53%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.61%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$594.92+1.62%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
  • An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.