PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0-5 68.8%+8.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
0-5 68.8%+8.0ptMarktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
952,9 €
Liquidität
76.334,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 00:08 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
PolymarketOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold Markets0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for October 31, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.