PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 72.5%+2.5ptMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
22.565,7 €
Liquidität
29.113,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 23:26 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiRegeln
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
- Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
- Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.0pt17%
- September 30-3.5pt5%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 539.313,1 €
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.0pt42%
- September 21+5.0pt36%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 197.522,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.0pt22%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 18+5.0pt91%
- September 4+7.0pt88%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.7pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 73% (Stand: 13. September 2026).
- Wann wird Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? entschieden?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.