PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 10%+2.0ptFührend unter 19 Optionen
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
112.522,9 €
Liquidität
28.792,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
993
7d-Änderung
+3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. Mai 26, 23:521. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für September 30 liegt bei 10%. Die Kurse liegen rund 40 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz September 30 10% · 2 Plattformen · 40 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Israel closes its airspace by...? · August 31 50%
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 23,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 402.719,2 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 283.142 €
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
- Hilal+5.5pt62.1%
- Draw (Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)-1.5pt20.4%
- Ahli-4.0pt17.5%
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets
- O/U 0.5+0.6pt97%
- Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5+3.5pt91%
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5+33.0pt86%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Hilal+7.0pt63.7%
- Tie19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-4.0pt16.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 201.263,6 €
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 10% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? entschieden?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.