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Daten vom 01.09.2026, 03:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
August 31 50%
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
25. Aug. 26, 13:201. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
Regeln
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für September 30 liegt bei 10%. Die Kurse liegen rund 40 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz September 30 10% · 2 Plattformen · 40 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless bewertet August 31 mit 50% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? entschieden?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? abgerechnet?
- Limitless rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird Israel closes its airspace by which date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.