PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 31 5%-4.3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
9788,4 €
Liquidität
21.606,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.9% / 5.5%
Spread
12.2%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-11.7%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
26. Juni 26, 18:4431. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 315%
Große Trades
$2.0k77.2%POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenkyvor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenkyvor 5 TagenVolumentrend
$11.1k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
739.133,7 €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
519.813,5 €Ja: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
244.738,9 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103.338,2 €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
35.752,5 €Above 60: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.