PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
20-24 24.5%-1.0ptFührend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1139,9 €
Liquidität
43.282,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 14:25 UTC13. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketWill IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
