Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
One-OffNaher OstenGeopolitikRohstoffe2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 50 Minuten
Verzogert5. Mai 26, 18:06 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
PolymarketRegeln
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).
