Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikGeopolitikNaher Osten2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 54.9%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juli 26, 17:12 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUnified Ireland while Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
