Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
2.0 Pkt. (24h)US-PolitikOne-OffNaher Osten26T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
20+ 33%+2.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
20+ 33%+2.0ptMarktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
133,8 €
Liquidität
10.438,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
62.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 23:58 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
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- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
