PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 21%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
152,2 €
Liquidität
31.100,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.3% / 5.9%
Spread
3.6 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 20:17 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 18+2.4pt97%
- September 30+1.7pt97%
- September 11+3.7pt96%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 596.862,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt53.5%
- October 31+2.5pt28.9%
- September 30+1.0pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 25+2.0pt84%
- September 30-1.5pt83%
- September 18+8.0pt83%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.733,1 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+0.6pt53.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-0.5pt28.7%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt8.9%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt22%
- October 31-1.0pt14%
- September 30+0.1pt6%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 21% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? entschieden?
- 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.