PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 4 98%Führend unter 30 Optionen
October 4 98%Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
60.496,9 €
Liquidität
63.074,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
38.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 17:12 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel military action against Iraq by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
