PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 31 4%-4.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
17.684,3 €
Liquidität
44.913,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.1% / 3.9%
Spread
25.8%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-11.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 0:3231. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 314%
Volumentrend
$20.1k14. Juli13T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
194.152,3 €August 31: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
138.143,2 €Ja: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19.426,3 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
439,4 €Ja: 18.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
235,7 €2023: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Yemen.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g.