Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 64.6%
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3
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet1. Aug. 26, 16:22 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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This market will resolve YES if and when Wikipedia's English page on the Russo-Ukrainian War (or the nearest equivalent if that page no longer exists) lists in its infobox "Result: Ukrainian victory", and I am satisfied that this is not part of an edit war.
- It will also resolve YES if the result describes the victor as some coalition of which Ukraine is a part, or describes the outcome in terms of the defeated side being Russia or some coalition of which Russia is a part.
- Any other "result" after the war is no longer described by Wikipedia as "ongoing" will cause the market to resolve NO, including hedged statements like "Partial Ukrainian victory" or "Ukrainian victory with territorial losses".
- Resolution only depends on the first, non-dotpoint statement in the "result" section of the infobox.
- If hedging/concessions follow the intitial statement as dotpoints, or if they appear in the body of the article, this is not relevant to resolution.
- If the "result" comprises only dotpoints, the market will resolve NO.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? entschieden?
- Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve YES if and when Wikipedia's English page on the Russo-Ukrainian War (or the nearest equivalent if that page no longer exists) lists in its infobox "Result: Ukrainian victory", and I am satisfied that this is not part of an edit war.