Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.2%
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54
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet22. Jan. 25, 10:36 UTC1. Feb. 27, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsRusso-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control the Ukrainian access to the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov at the end of 2026?
FutuurUkrainian Premier League: 2026-27 Winner
PolymarketRegeln
This market was created as the direct opposite of @chrisjbillington’s “Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War” with identical resolution criteria, but instead for Russia.
- https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-ukraine-win-the-russoukrainian
- Identical criteria with “Ukraine” replaced with “Russia”:
- This market will resolve YES if and when Wikipedia's English page on the Russo-Ukrainian War (or the nearest equivalent if that page no longer exists) lists in its infobox "Result: Russian victory", and I am satisfied that this is not part of an edit war.
- It will also resolve YES if the result describes the victor as some coalition of which Russia is a part, or describes the outcome in terms of the defeated side being Ukraine or some coalition of which Ukraine is a part.
- Any other "result" after the war is no longer described by Wikipedia as "ongoing" will cause the market to resolve NO, including hedged statements like "Partial Russian victory" or "Russian victory with territorial losses(/gains)".