Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / Ukraine1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 55.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet4. Juni 26, 23:45 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be extended as necessary.