Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Will Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Existential risk markets banned on Manifold before 2030
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
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Resolves Yes, if, before 2030, a poll conducted by one of the leading French opinion polling firms (e. g., ipsos) reports that IA Doom, or other formulation of the Intelligence Artificielle-related existential risk, ranks in the top 5 of concerns of French resident for the near future.
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