Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?
WirtschaftOne-OffEuropa4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet28. Aug. 23, 20:59 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US have an economic depression before January 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China have an economic recession induced by overcapacity before EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiRegeln
This will be resolved based on the percentage difference in GDP per person in US dollars at purchase power parity (PPP).
- [image]I define Western Europe as something like the EU prior to the admission of Poland (minus Greece, plus Switzerland, Norway), but I don't expect to litigate the concept; the economies are highly correlated and the big countries will drive the result.