KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 74%
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
99,7 €
Liquidität
25.980,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.1% / 25.9%
Spread
2.8 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
18. Dez. 24, 15:00 UTC26. Jan. 29, 13:25 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many assassination attempts will there be on Trump during his presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next big economic crash occur?
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRegeln
If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- **Important information:** An 'economic boom' is defined as any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 having GDP growth of above 5%.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 91 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 569.721,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.363,9 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.180,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 16.442,1 €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 314.673,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9494 €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a Trump economic boom??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 74% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a Trump economic boom? entschieden?
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? soll am 26. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a Trump economic boom? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.