Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
InflationOne-OffWirtschaftLateinamerika4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.2%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
27. Mai 25, 23:10 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mexico experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., a contraction in GDP) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030.
- The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) or other reputable sources such as the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
- If two or more years within this period show a negative percentage change in real GDP compared to the previous year, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No".